Date:14/01/2010 09:30:00
Organisation:The Nuffield Trust
Summary:
This was a one-day summit to encourage collaboration between researchers, policy-makers and practitioners in the four home nations of the UK with respect to predictive risk modelling. Predictive models (such as PARR and the Combined Model in England, PRISM model in Wales and SPARRA in Scotland) use patterns in routine electronic data to make forecasts at the individual level. People identified as being at high risk may be offered targeted, preventive care aimed at keeping them healthy. This summit was an opportunity to raise awareness of:
- Predictive modelling schemes used in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales
- Applications within national/regional and public/private sector schemes
- Similarities and differences in approaches to risk modelling
- Data sharing and linking, data access and confidentiality issues
- Future developments (such as Predicting future costs of social care)
Follow the links below to download the speaker presentations and to view a narrated slide show of highlights from the event.
Presentations
- Morning session 1 (Download)
Presentations by Jennifer Dixon, The Nuffield Trust; Peter Martin, ISD, and Mandy Andrew, Long Term Conditions Collaborative; and Natasha Curry, The King's Fund.
- Morning session 2 (Download)
Presentations by Marina Lupari, Northern Health and Social Care Trust; and Leo Lewis, Carmarthenshire Local Health Board, and Gareth John, Health Solutions Wales.
- Afternoon session 1 (Download)
Presentations by Rhona Guild, Angus Community Health Partnership; and Theo Georghiou, Geraint Lewis, and Adam Steventon, all of the Nuffield Trust.
- Afternoon session 2 (Download)
Presentations by Helen Lyndon, NHS Cornwall and Isles of Scilly; Heather Dawe, The Health and Social Care Information Centre; and John Billings, New York University.
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