Predictive Risk 2014

The Nuffield Trust’s fifth annual Predictive Risk conference looked to broaden the debate beyond risk models and how they are applied, to wider questions around using information tools that rely on linked data to look at patient care over time.

Event

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The last few years have seen rapid growth in the use of linked person level data as a vital resource to help us better understand what is happening to people as they go through the care system.

This information powers predictive risk models, but it can also be hugely useful to commissioners, providers, analysts, policy-makers and academics trying to analyse and make a wide range of decisions about patient pathways.

Predictive risk modelling to find people at high risk of emergency admission is just one approach that relies on linked person level data as it exploits anonymised person level information and link care episodes over time.

There are a range of other applications including tools for budgeting and resource allocations, auditing of care provided, assessing and improving quality of care, planning service delivery and in the evaluation of models of care. At the conference delegates had the opportunity to consider key topics including:

  • integrated information for integrated care
  • advances in using information
  • using data from services that are not routinely linked

Session 1: Integrated information for integrated care

  • Speaker: Tony O' Connor CBE Senior Strategy Advisor, Department of Health
  • Speaker: Bethan George Deputy Director Integrated Care, Waltham Forest, East London and City (WELC) Integrated Care Program, NHS Tower Hamlets Clinical Commissioning Group
  • Speaker: Janice Abraham Information Access and Governance Manager, London Borough of Enfield
  • Speaker: Paul Allen Older People's Commissioner, London Borough of Enfield
  • Speaker: Alan Thompson Benefits Realisation Manager, Central Southern Commissioning Support Unit
  • Speaker: Chris Morris Information Analyst, Central Southern Commissioning Support Unit

Session 2: Predictive Risk keynote address

  • Speaker: Tim Kelsey National Director for Patients and Information, NHS England

Session 3: Linked data beyond hospitals and GPs

  • Speaker: Dr Jessica Sheringham Researcher, University College London
  • Speaker: Dr Rina Dutta Clinician Scientist Fellow, King's College London
  • Speaker: Sophie Clark Paramedic, London Ambulance Service

Session 4: Advances in using information

  • Speaker: Dr Jeremy Veillard Vice President of Research and Analysis, Canadian Institute for Health Information
  • Speaker: Dr Martin Bardsley Senior Fellow in Research, Nuffield Trust
  • Speaker: Tracey Gyateng Data Lab Project Manager, New Philanthropy Capital
  • Speaker: Professor Liam Smeeth Head of Department of Non-communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine