Risk adjustment conference: applications and developments for the NHS

As explored in a recent Nuffield Trust publication:  Predictive risk and health care: an overview, risk adjustment techniques are increasingly being used by the health care systems of many developed countries, including the NHS.  Risk adjustment plays a vital role in:

• Forecasting costly events such as emergency hospital admissions, so that people at high risk can be offered targeted preventive care;
• Setting budgets for commissioners;
• Remunerating health care providers;
• Evaluating services.

This conference was designed to bring delegates the latest news on developments on this important and rapidly developing topic.

We recorded video interviews with a selection of the keynote speakers from the conference, including Professor Wynand van de Ven, Professor of Health Insurance at Erasmus University Rotterdam; Professor Ian Duncan, Professor of Actuarial Mathematics at the University of California, Santa Barbara, and Founder of Solucia Consulting; and Dr Dirk Göpffarth, Head of Risk Adjustment at the German Federal Social Insurance Office.

To watch the video interviews and access other highlights from the conference, use the arrow buttons on each block in the right hand column to scroll through the interviews and slideshow content.

The conference covered the following key issues:

• Introduction to risk adjustment;
• The Person Based Resource Allocation Formula used to allocate NHS budgets in England;
• International perspectives;
• Controversies in the risk adjustment field.

Further information about our work on predictive risk can be accessed via the Our work section of the website, or from the Uses of predictive risk adjustment in the NHS project page.