Option |
Trade and borders |
Regulation |
Migration |
Norway |
Still some friction for trade in supplies and work across the Irish border |
UK stays in European market and system for medicines, devices, data, clinical trials, procurement and probably working time |
Free movement of labour almost guaranteed |
Canada |
Checks and requirements for trade in supplies and work over the Irish border |
NHS and life science companies no longer have same level of access to EU market |
No guarantee of open migration |
Jersey |
Trade in physical supplies and movement across Irish border continue much as today |
UK stays in bigger EU market for medical supplies. Trials and surveillance may be impeded. Room to change procurement and working time possible but may be ruled out |
Likely to go alongside free or close to free movement of labour |
Ukraine |
Checks, requirements and tariffs for trade in some supplies and work over the Irish border |
Some health care products can still be bought, sold and approved in single market, but not all. Procurement regulations still aligned but not working time |
Precedent suggests link to commitments on open migration |
Three bucket |
Some level of friction for trade and border, depending on specifics |
UK will diverge and lose access for some things, not others: what these would be is unclear and must be negotiated |
Unclear |